KABUL, AFGHANISTAN- The United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) has warned that unusually warm temperatures are expected across much of Afghanistan in the coming days, raising concerns about water availability and long-term agricultural impacts.
In a statement published on X on Wednesday, February 4, the FAO said that between 2 and 8 February, temperatures in many parts of the country are forecast to be 1 to 5 degrees Celsius above the seasonal average.
According to the agency, the warmer-than-usual conditions may help reduce the risk of frost damage to winter crops and improve access to rangelands for livestock. However, FAO cautioned that faster snowmelt and reduced snow accumulation could limit soil moisture and water availability later in the season.
The FAO noted that assessments show wetter-than-normal conditions in western Afghanistan and parts of the central provinces. In contrast, eastern, southeastern, and northeastern regions are expected to remain drier than average, with below-normal rainfall.
The organization added that above-average rainfall combined with warmer temperatures could support rain-fed agriculture and pasture growth in western Afghanistan, but may also increase the risk of flooding.
FAO has previously reported that Afghanistan’s current rainy season began drier and warmer than usual. Earlier forecasts by the agency indicated a high probability of below-average precipitation and above-average temperatures across much of the country during early winter.
Afghanistan has experienced several consecutive years of reduced rainfall and severe drought, largely driven by climate change. While some areas have seen snowfall and rainfall this winter, overall precipitation levels are still considered below the long-term average.
